Hoffenheim 3-0 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
7.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.22
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
15%
4.55
X/2
5%
9.34
X/X
10%
6.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.55
2/2
10%
6.67
2/X
6%
15.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.55 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.5pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
1.90/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.64
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
23.4 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Augsburg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 1.08
57% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
423 Passes 292
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-1 HT 0-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
10.11.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
07.04.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 3-1 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
06.01.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim HAZ
11.11.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
17.02.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
3-0
AWAY Augsburg
2.04 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
504 Passes 289
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim cruised past Augsburg 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hoffenheim as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Hoffenheim had 60% of the ball to Augsburg's 40%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.04 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hoffenheim and 0.83 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Augsburg?

Hoffenheim 3-0 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 54%, draw 23%, Augsburg 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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