Hoffenheim 1-1 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.33
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
17%
5.36
X/2
9%
6.5
X/X
15%
4.58
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
18%
4.5
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.75/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.69
+12% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
21.2 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Augsburg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.13 xG 1.09
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
400 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
07.04.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 3-1 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
06.01.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim HAZ
11.11.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
17.02.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
27.08.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-0 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
1-1
AWAY Augsburg
1.51 xG 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
416 Passes 311
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 10
39 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim vs Augsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim and Augsburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hoffenheim had 57% of the ball to Augsburg's 43%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.51 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hoffenheim and 0.67 for Augsburg.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Augsburg?

Hoffenheim 1-1 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Augsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 39%, draw 28%, Augsburg 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoffenheim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL1 More Germany - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025
17:30 Mönchengladbach vs RB Leipzig Analysis →
17:30 Holstein Kiel vs Werder Bremen Analysis →
17:30 Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim Analysis →
17:30 Bayern Münih vs St. Pauli Analysis →
20:30 Eintracht Frankfurt vs Stuttgart Analysis →