Augsburg 0-0 Hoffenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
13.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.54 — our 29% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.86
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
20%
4.63
X/2
10%
6.96
X/X
11%
4.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.05
2/X
6%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.2pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.69/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.74
+2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 77%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
23.3 Crosses 17.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hoffenheim
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 1.47
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
271 Passes 396
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 3-1 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
06.01.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim HAZ
11.11.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
17.02.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
27.08.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-0 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
08.01.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 3-1 HT 2-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Augsburg
0-0
AWAY Hoffenheim
0.94 xG 0.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 6
360 Passes 468
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Augsburg vs Hoffenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg and Hoffenheim fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Augsburg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Augsburg had 44% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 56%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.94 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hoffenheim led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Augsburg and 1.33 for Hoffenheim.

What was the final score of Augsburg vs Hoffenheim?

Augsburg 0-0 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg vs Hoffenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 45%, draw 26%, Hoffenheim 29%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Augsburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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