Stuttgart 2-3 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
29%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.22
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.28
X/2
7%
9.18
X/X
9%
5.65
2/1
9%
21.3
2/2
8%
6.41
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
14.25
Value flag · 2/X at 14.25 — our 12% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
2.14/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.62
+13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
23.3 Crosses 15.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.39 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
411 Passes 373
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-0 HT 3-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
25.11.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 HT 1-2 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
03.05.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-3 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AFK
11.03.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
17.09.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-3 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
05.02.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-3 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
2-3
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
2.57 xG 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
480 Passes 289
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
41 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt squeezed past Stuttgart 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stuttgart at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Stuttgart had 60% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 40%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.57 to 1.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Stuttgart.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stuttgart and 1.83 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Stuttgart 2-3 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 50%, draw 26%, Eintracht Frankfurt 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stuttgart) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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