Wolfsburg 0-1 Heidenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
33%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.21
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.38
X/2
10%
9.64
X/X
10%
5.46
2/1
8%
22.45
2/2
15%
7.42
2/X
7%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-12.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
21%
+11.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidenheim EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.78/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.49
-6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +32%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
428 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
18.3 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Heidenheim
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.60 xG 1.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
377 Passes 337
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 0
10.11.2024 Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-3 HT 0-2 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
20.01.2024 Heidenheim Heidenheim 1-1 HT 1-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
19.08.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Heidenheim Heidenheim AL1
26.10.2016 Heidenheim Heidenheim 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AFK
29.10.2014 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 4-1 HT 2-1 Heidenheim Heidenheim AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
0-1
AWAY Heidenheim
1.31 xG 1.36
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
472 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidenheim squeezed past Wolfsburg 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Wolfsburg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wolfsburg had 61% of the ball to Heidenheim's 39%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.31 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Wolfsburg and 0.60 for Heidenheim.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim?

Wolfsburg 0-1 Heidenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Heidenheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 42%, draw 25%, Heidenheim 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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