Werder Bremen 1-1 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 29 Nov 2025

Werder Bremen
1-1 HT 1-0
Köln
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Werder Bremen vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
14%
7.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.01
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.46
X/2
12%
6.9
X/X
11%
5.67
2/1
7%
22.25
2/2
14%
4.32
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · X/1 at 5.46 — our 21% vs market 14.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Werder Bremen v Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.64/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.80
-7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
21.5 Crosses 22.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Werder Bremen vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Köln
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.46 xG 1.46
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
349 Passes 396
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2024 Köln Köln 0-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
23.09.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1 HT 1-1 Köln Köln AL1
20.05.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-1 HT 0-1 Köln Köln AL1
21.01.2023 Köln Köln 7-1 HT 5-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
07.03.2021 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
06.11.2020 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-1 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1

Werder Bremen 1-1 Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
1-1
AWAY Köln
1.17 xG 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
400 Passes 437
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen and Köln couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Werder Bremen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Werder Bremen had 49% of the ball to Köln's 51%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.17 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Werder Bremen and 1.83 for Köln.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Köln?

Werder Bremen 1-1 Köln in the Germany - Bundesliga on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 47%, draw 22%, Köln 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Werder Bremen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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