Union Berlin vs Heidenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Berlin v Heidenheim — Team-Based Signals
Union Berlin vs Heidenheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Heidenheim
AFK
2-1
HT 0-1
Union Berlin
AL2
Union Berlin 1-2 Heidenheim — Actual Match Statistics
Heidenheim nicked a narrow win over Union Berlin 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Union Berlin at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Union Berlin had 43% of the ball to Heidenheim's 57%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.97 to 0.59.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidenheim led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Berlin and 1.67 for Heidenheim.
What was the final score of Union Berlin vs Heidenheim?
Union Berlin 1-2 Heidenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Berlin vs Heidenheim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin 58%, draw 23%, Heidenheim 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Berlin) went the other way.