Heidenheim vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heidenheim v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals
Heidenheim vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Heidenheim
AFK
2-1
HT 0-1
Union Berlin
AL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Heidenheim
AL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Heidenheim
AL2
Heidenheim 2-0 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
Heidenheim beat Union Berlin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Heidenheim found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Heidenheim had 58% of the ball to Union Berlin's 42%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.40 to 1.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidenheim had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Heidenheim and 1.17 for Union Berlin.
What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Union Berlin?
Heidenheim 2-0 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Union Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Union Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 36%, draw 27%, Union Berlin 37%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.