Mönchengladbach 0-1 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 11 Jan 2025

Mönchengladbach
0-1 HT 0-0
Bayern Münih
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Mönchengladbach vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
50%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.06
2-3 Goals
36%
2.06
4-5 Goals
31%
2.47
6+ Goals
12%
5.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
11.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
19.8
1/X
6%
19.15
X/1
10%
16.45
X/2
12%
3.81
X/X
12%
8.31
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.6
2/X
8%
19.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.8 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+9.4pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.0pp
50%
Away Win
68%
-17.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.5pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mönchengladbach v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 72%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.52/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.08
+64% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -26%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 474 · 82%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.5
12.0 Crosses 20.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Mönchengladbach vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bayern Münih
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 1.99
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
316 Passes 505
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-1 HT 1-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
02.09.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 1-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
18.02.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-2 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
27.08.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-1 HT 0-1 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
07.01.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-2 HT 1-2 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
27.10.2021 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 5-0 HT 3-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AFK

Mönchengladbach 0-1 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
0-1
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.35 xG 4.28
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 10
250 Passes 585
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 49
8 Crosses 36
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih edged past Mönchengladbach 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 33% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 67%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 0.35 to 4.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayern Münih's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mönchengladbach had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Mönchengladbach and 1.50 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Bayern Münih?

Mönchengladbach 0-1 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 24%, draw 26%, Bayern Münih 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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