St. Pauli 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 11 Jan 2025

St. Pauli
0-1 HT 0-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.99
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
9%
7.25
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
4.95
X/X
10%
4.71
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.9
2/X
9%
12.35
Value flag · X/2 at 4.95 — our 21% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pauli v Eintracht Frankfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 48%
-24% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
0.71/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.18
-98% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 80%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
20.5 Crosses 20.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.52 xG 0.87
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 Passes 478
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.10.2019 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-2 HT 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AFK
19.12.2011 St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL2
25.07.2011 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
19.03.2011 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL1
30.10.2010 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-3 HT 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
24.01.2003 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL2

St. Pauli 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli
0-1
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
2.29 xG 1.66
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
355 Passes 524
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
35 Box Touches 30
27 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt nicked a narrow win over St. Pauli 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eintracht Frankfurt as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Pauli had 43% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 57%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.29 to 1.66 — on chances, St. Pauli could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Frankfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Pauli and 1.50 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

St. Pauli 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 27%, draw 26%, Eintracht Frankfurt 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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