St. Pauli II 1-1 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Dec 2025

St. Pauli II
1-1 HT 0-1
VfB Oldenburg
📅02/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
55%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pauli II v VfB Oldenburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 62%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.05/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.83
-11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.03.2025 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-2 HT 2-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
14.09.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 4-0 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
10.11.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-1 HT 0-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
08.11.2019 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-0 HT 2-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
16.08.2015 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-3 HT 1-2 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
17.05.2015 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II and VfB Oldenburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. VfB Oldenburg carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VfB Oldenburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.67 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg?

St. Pauli II 1-1 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 20%, draw 25%, VfB Oldenburg 55%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✗ Over 2.5
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ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
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