St. Pauli II 2-2 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Mar 2025

St. Pauli II
2-2 HT 2-1
VfB Oldenburg
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.82
No
62%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+4.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
51%
-13.1pp
62%
BTTS No
49%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pauli II v VfB Oldenburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.38/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.72
-5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.2

St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
3W-0D-3L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.09.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 4-0 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
10.11.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-1 HT 0-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
08.11.2019 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-0 HT 2-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
16.08.2015 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-3 HT 1-2 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
17.05.2015 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
15.11.2014 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 4-2 HT 2-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II and VfB Oldenburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was VfB Oldenburg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.67 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg?

St. Pauli II 2-2 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 28%, draw 28%, VfB Oldenburg 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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