Chemie Leipzig 0-3 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Mar 2025

Chemie Leipzig
0-3 HT 0-1
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Chemie Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chemie Leipzig v Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.31/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.74
-3% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Chemie Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemie Leipzig
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 5-1 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
02.02.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
16.08.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-2 HT 1-2 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
21.05.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
25.01.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
29.09.2019 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemie Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt ran out comfortable winners over Chemie Leipzig 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rot-Weiss Erfurt as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 2.17 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Chemie Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Chemie Leipzig 0-3 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemie Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chemie Leipzig 33%, draw 26%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✗ BTTS Yes
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