Rot-Weiss Erfurt 5-1 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Sep 2024

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
5-1 HT 2-0
Chemie Leipzig
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemie Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Erfurt v Chemie Leipzig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 40%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +8%
1.99/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.38
+24% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemie Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
02.02.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
16.08.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-2 HT 1-2 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
21.05.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-2 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
25.01.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
29.09.2019 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 5-1 Chemie Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
5-1
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt cruised past Chemie Leipzig 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Rot-Weiss Erfurt made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Erfurt had 35% of the ball to Chemie Leipzig's 65%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 1.20 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemie Leipzig?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 5-1 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chemie Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 35%, draw 29%, Chemie Leipzig 36%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chemie Leipzig) ✗ Under 2.5
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