Luckenwalde 2-1 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
54%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 59%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.01/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.39
-12% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.03.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 2-2 HT 2-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
14.01.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV HAZ
15.09.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-5 HT 0-3 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
14.05.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 6-2 HT 1-2 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
04.12.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde nicked a narrow win over Greifswalder SV 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Greifswalder SV at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Luckenwalde and 2.40 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder SV?

Luckenwalde 2-1 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 25%, draw 21%, Greifswalder SV 54%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greifswalder SV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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