Homburg 2-0 Astoria Walldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.51
Over 2.5
44%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.5
No
56%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
36%
+19.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
64%
-19.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
62%
-19.0pp
56%
BTTS No
38%
+19.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homburg EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.90/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.71
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Astoria Walldorf
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2024 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 2-0 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 Homburg Homburg 5-0 HT 3-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
04.04.2023 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 1-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
23.09.2022 Homburg Homburg 4-0 HT 1-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
18.02.2022 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 3-1 HT 1-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
10.09.2021 Homburg Homburg 3-2 HT 2-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Homburg vs Astoria Walldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg beat Astoria Walldorf 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Homburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Homburg and 1.33 for Astoria Walldorf.

What was the final score of Homburg vs Astoria Walldorf?

Homburg 2-0 Astoria Walldorf in the Germany - Regional League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homburg vs Astoria Walldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Homburg 51%, draw 26%, Astoria Walldorf 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Homburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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