Düren Merzenich 5-3 Uerdingen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Uerdingen EU Bookmakers 23%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
2.76/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.34
+28% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
POST-MATCH Düren Merzenich vs Uerdingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Düren Merzenich got the better of Uerdingen 5-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Düren Merzenich as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Düren Merzenich vs Uerdingen?

Düren Merzenich 5-3 Uerdingen in the Germany - Regional League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düren Merzenich vs Uerdingen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Düren Merzenich win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Düren Merzenich 50%, draw 27%, Uerdingen 24%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Düren Merzenich) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Düren Merzenich) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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