Eintracht Trier 2-0 SGV Freiberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.63
No
59%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
57%
-15.8pp
59%
BTTS No
43%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Trier EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 31%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +24%
2.60/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.18
+44% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Trier
0W-1D-1L
AWAY SGV Freiberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-1 HT 1-0 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier 1-1 HT 1-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Eintracht Trier vs SGV Freiberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Trier beat SGV Freiberg 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eintracht Trier as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eintracht Trier and 1.50 for SGV Freiberg.

What was the final score of Eintracht Trier vs SGV Freiberg?

Eintracht Trier 2-0 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Trier vs SGV Freiberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Trier win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Trier 49%, draw 25%, SGV Freiberg 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eintracht Trier), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eintracht Trier) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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