Bayreuth 1-1 Würzburger Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.93/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.48
-36% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 5.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Würzburger Kickers
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2024 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 0-4 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
30.04.2024 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 3-0 HT 3-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
14.10.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-2 HT 1-1 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
01.07.2017 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-3 HT 0-2 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers HAZ
24.10.2014 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 4-1 HT 1-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Würzburger Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth and Würzburger Kickers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Würzburger Kickers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Bayreuth and 2.40 for Würzburger Kickers.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Würzburger Kickers?

Bayreuth 1-1 Würzburger Kickers in the Germany - Regional League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Würzburger Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Würzburger Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 33%, draw 25%, Würzburger Kickers 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Würzburger Kickers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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