Bayern München II 2-4 Augsburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.9pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg II EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
2.14/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.58
+18% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.4 Crosses 8.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Augsburg II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.81 xG 2.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
302 Passes 350
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2024 Augsburg II Augsburg II 1-3 HT 1-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
22.03.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 0-0 HT 0-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
31.10.2023 Augsburg II Augsburg II 4-0 HT 3-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
05.04.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-2 HT 2-1 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
03.09.2022 Augsburg II Augsburg II 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
29.10.2021 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-2 HT 2-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayern München II vs Augsburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg II saw off Bayern München II 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bayern München II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bayern München II and 1.67 for Augsburg II.

What was the final score of Bayern München II vs Augsburg II?

Bayern München II 2-4 Augsburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München II vs Augsburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bayern München II 46%, draw 21%, Augsburg II 33%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern München II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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