ABD (K) 2-0 İtalya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 2 Dec 2025

ABD (K)
2-0 HT 2-0
İtalya (K)
📅02/12/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

ABD (K) vs İtalya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.28
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.07
Over 2.5
63%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
6+ Goals
14%
9.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
74%
+1.6pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.3pp
9%
Away Win
10%
-0.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
44%
-7.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
56%
+7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD (K) v İtalya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.40/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/3.18
+24% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -23%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
478 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
40.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
18.9 Crosses 8.3
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

ABD (K) vs İtalya (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY İtalya (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.12 xG 1.21
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
598 Passes 242
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
44 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.11.2025 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) HAZ

ABD (K) 2-0 İtalya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
2-0
AWAY İtalya (K)
1.93 xG 0.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
507 Passes 210
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs İtalya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD (K) saw off İtalya (K) 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ABD (K) as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ABD (K) had 66% of the ball to İtalya (K)'s 34%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.93 to 0.33.

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs İtalya (K)?

ABD (K) 2-0 İtalya (K) in the Friendlies on 02/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs İtalya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 76%, draw 15%, İtalya (K) 9%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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