Juventus vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juventus v Milan — Team-Based Signals
Juventus vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Juventus 1-2 Milan — Actual Match Statistics
Milan edged past Juventus 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Milan made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Juventus had 51% of the ball to Milan's 49%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.08 to 1.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Juventus and 0.83 for Milan.
What was the final score of Juventus vs Milan?
Juventus 1-2 Milan in the Italy - Super Cup on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juventus vs Milan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Juventus 38%, draw 27%, Milan 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Juventus), Under 2.5 went the other way.