Milan 0-0 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
4.16
6+ Goals
10%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.29
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.92
X/2
13%
6.38
X/X
15%
4.17
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
13%
4.75
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.71/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.39
+12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 82%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
18.2 Crosses 13.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Juventus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.81 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 Passes 406
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Juventus Juventus 0-0 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA
22.10.2023 Milan Milan 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
28.07.2023 Juventus Juventus 2-2 HT 1-2 Milan Milan HAZ
28.05.2023 Juventus Juventus 0-1 HT 0-1 Milan Milan İTA
08.10.2022 Milan Milan 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
23.01.2022 Milan Milan 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan
0-0
AWAY Juventus
0.30 xG 0.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
338 Passes 456
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milan vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan and Juventus played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Milan had 44% of the ball to Juventus's 56%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.30 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Milan and 0.50 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Milan vs Juventus?

Milan 0-0 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Milan 37%, draw 29%, Juventus 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Milan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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