Hellas Verona 0-5 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
57%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.5
6+ Goals
12%
13.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 26% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
10.75
1/2
7%
23.85
1/X
7%
19.2
X/1
5%
12.95
X/2
18%
3.57
X/X
10%
5.76
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.86
2/X
5%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
57%
Away Win
63%
-5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 67%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.03/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.90
+36% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +11%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 83%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
16.6 Crosses 22.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Inter
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.97 xG 1.92
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 445
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-2 HT 2-2 Inter Inter İTA
06.01.2024 Inter Inter 2-1 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
03.05.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-6 HT 0-3 Inter Inter İTA
14.01.2023 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
09.04.2022 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 2-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
27.08.2021 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-3 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
0-5
AWAY Inter
0.49 xG 3.23
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
295 Passes 747
86% Pass Accuracy 94%
12 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hellas Verona vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter swept aside Hellas Verona 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hellas Verona had 30% of the ball to Inter's 70%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.49 to 3.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hellas Verona and 2.67 for Inter.

What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Inter?

Hellas Verona 0-5 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 21%, draw 22%, Inter 57%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
23 Nov 2024
20:00 Milan vs Juventus Analysis →
22:45 Parma vs Atalanta Analysis →