Western United (K) 2-0 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 3 Jan 2025

📅03/01/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
43%
-10.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.1pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.6pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.50/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.26
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
18.0 Crosses 24.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.67 xG 1.56
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
238 Passes 246
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
23.11.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Western United (K) Western United (K) AVUSTW
17.03.2024 Western United (K) Western United (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United (K)
2-0
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
2.13 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
282 Passes 333
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Western United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United (K) got the better of Newcastle Jets (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Western United (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Western United (K) had 46% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 54%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.13 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Western United (K) and 2.00 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of Western United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Western United (K) 2-0 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Western United (K) 32%, draw 30%, Newcastle Jets (K) 38%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →