Newcastle Jets (K) 1-1 Western United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 23 Nov 2024

Newcastle Jets (K)
1-1 HT 0-0
Western United (K)
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Newcastle Jets (K) vs Western United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
32%
3.72
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.51
Over 2.5
64%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.3pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.4pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-8.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Jets (K) v Western United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -61% / -61%
2.03/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/2.06
+71% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.0
23.9 Crosses 39.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Newcastle Jets (K) vs Western United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Western United (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 1.39
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
201 Passes 268
64% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Western United (K) Western United (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW

Newcastle Jets (K) 1-1 Western United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
1-1
AWAY Western United (K)
1.85 xG 1.95
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 Passes 208
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets (K) vs Western United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) and Western United (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 57% of the ball to Western United (K)'s 43%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.85 to 1.95.

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Western United (K)?

Newcastle Jets (K) 1-1 Western United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Western United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 35%, draw 32%, Western United (K) 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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