Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 23 Nov 2024

Central Coast Mariners (K)
1-1 HT 1-0
Melbourne Victory (K)
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒06:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.70/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.70
-27% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +57%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
287 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 83%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
21.0 Crosses 16.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.70 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
21 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
260 Passes 355
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW

Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
1-1
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
0.74 xG 1.08
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
241 Passes 384
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) and Melbourne Victory (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 42% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 58%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.74 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 35%, draw 25%, Melbourne Victory (K) 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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