Tamworth 3-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.25
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
11%
4.57
X/2
9%
9.12
X/X
8%
6.14
2/1
7%
20.35
2/2
14%
6.44
2/X
6%
14.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.82/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.51
+2% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
64 · 97% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 50 · 96%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Gateshead
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 1-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
22.03.2025 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
08.10.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 2-1 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
05.04.2014 Gateshead Gateshead 5-0 HT 1-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
21.09.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 0-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
02.02.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 2-0 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth beat Gateshead 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tamworth as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tamworth and 1.50 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Gateshead?

Tamworth 3-1 Gateshead in the England - National League on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 49%, draw 20%, Gateshead 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tamworth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tamworth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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