Gateshead 2-1 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.73
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.79
X/2
9%
5.56
X/X
9%
5.01
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
17%
3.52
2/X
8%
12.85
Value flag · X/1 at 5.79 — our 21% vs market 13.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
0.93/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.29
-32% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
103 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 90 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Tamworth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
67% Ball Possession 33%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
0 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
22.03.2025 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
08.10.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 2-1 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
05.04.2014 Gateshead Gateshead 5-0 HT 1-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
21.09.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 0-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
02.02.2013 Tamworth Tamworth 2-0 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
15.09.2012 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
2-1
AWAY Tamworth
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead edged past Tamworth 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Gateshead made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Gateshead had 55% of the ball to Tamworth's 45%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tamworth led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gateshead and 1.33 for Tamworth.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Tamworth?

Gateshead 2-1 Tamworth in the England - National League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 39%, draw 27%, Tamworth 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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