Brackley Town 2-1 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Aug 2025

Brackley Town
2-1 HT 1-0
Rochdale
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Brackley Town vs Rochdale Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 35% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
15%
4.32
X/2
14%
6.65
X/X
14%
4.72
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
10%
5.31
2/X
6%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brackley Town v Rochdale — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 32%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.03
-34% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
175 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 177 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Brackley Town 2-1 Rochdale — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
2-1
AWAY Rochdale
28% Ball Possession 72%
5 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town nicked a narrow win over Rochdale 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brackley Town had 28% of the ball to Rochdale's 72%, shots finished 5-17.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Rochdale?

Brackley Town 2-1 Rochdale in the England - National League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 44%, draw 26%, Rochdale 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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