Wealdstone 0-1 Carlisle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Aug 2025

Wealdstone
0-1 HT 0-1
Carlisle United
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - National League – 2025/2026

Wealdstone vs Carlisle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 30% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.76
1/2
7%
23.65
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
9%
6.67
X/2
21%
4.78
X/X
10%
5.03
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
16%
2.87
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wealdstone v Carlisle United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.48/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
106 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 111 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Carlisle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlisle United edged past Wealdstone 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carlisle United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Carlisle United?

Wealdstone 0-1 Carlisle United in the England - National League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Carlisle United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 31%, draw 26%, Carlisle United 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carlisle United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carlisle United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
23 Aug 2025
14:30 Morecambe vs Altrincham Analysis →
17:00 Solihull Moors vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
17:00 Gateshead vs Tamworth Analysis →
17:00 Halifax Town vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Braintree Town vs Yeovil Analysis →
17:00 Brackley Town vs Rochdale Analysis →