Morecambe 2-1 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
4.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.95
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
12%
6.06
X/2
15%
5.2
X/X
11%
4.91
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
3.26
2/X
5%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.95 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morecambe EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.80/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.66
+32% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
103 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 131 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morecambe
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Altrincham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
13.03.2007 Morecambe Morecambe 0-1 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
10.10.2006 Altrincham Altrincham 0-2 HT 0-1 Morecambe Morecambe İBSL
17.04.2006 Morecambe Morecambe 2-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
29.08.2005 Altrincham Altrincham 2-0 HT 2-0 Morecambe Morecambe İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morecambe
2-1
AWAY Altrincham
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
1 Passes 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Morecambe vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morecambe squeezed past Altrincham 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Morecambe as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Morecambe had 46% of the ball to Altrincham's 54%, shots finished 7-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Morecambe and 0.75 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Morecambe vs Altrincham?

Morecambe 2-1 Altrincham in the England - National League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morecambe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 42%, draw 23%, Altrincham 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Morecambe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Morecambe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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