Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 0-3 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 3 Jan 2026

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
0-3 HT 0-1
Al Ahli FC Dubai
📅03/01/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ahli FC Dubai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
46%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 33% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.9pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.2pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-8.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi v Al Ahli FC Dubai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 58%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.14/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.87
+61% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 84%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
8.7 Crosses 20.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ahli FC Dubai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.48 xG 2.06
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
399 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.01.2025 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
07.04.2024 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-2 HT 3-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
07.10.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
11.03.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-3 HT 2-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
15.10.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
03.04.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 0-3 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
0-3
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.18 xG 2.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 1
346 Passes 421
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai cruised past Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had 46% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 54%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.18 to 2.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 2.00 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 0-3 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 24%, draw 30%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
3 Jan 2026
15:55 Al Bataeh vs Dibba Al Fujairah Analysis →
15:55 Ajman vs Al Ittihad Kalba Analysis →