Ajman 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 28% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +27%
1.51/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.16
+23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +51%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 72%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.6 Crosses 14.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.82 xG 1.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
321 Passes 308
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2025 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 3-2 HT 2-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
29.03.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-4 HT 2-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
29.09.2023 Ajman Ajman 3-5 HT 1-3 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
19.04.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
12.11.2022 Ajman Ajman 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
25.03.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajman
0-1
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
0.68 xG 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
332 Passes 296
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad Kalba nicked a narrow win over Ajman 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Al Ittihad Kalba found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ajman had 53% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 47%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.68 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ajman and 1.83 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Ajman 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajman win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ajman 39%, draw 25%, Al Ittihad Kalba 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ajman) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajman) ✓ Under 2.5
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