Felgueiras 1932 1-0 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 3 Jan 2026

📅03/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 33% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 24%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.81/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.60
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
232 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.7 Crosses 12.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Felgueiras 1932
2W-0D-0L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.96 xG 0.88
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
111 Passes 120
64% Pass Accuracy 62%
16 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 2-1 HT 0-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
05.01.2025 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-3 HT 0-2 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
1-0
AWAY UD Oliveirense
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 nicked a narrow win over UD Oliveirense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Felgueiras 1932 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 51% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 49%, shots finished 22-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Felgueiras 1932 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Felgueiras 1932 and 0.50 for UD Oliveirense.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs UD Oliveirense?

Felgueiras 1932 1-0 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 51%, draw 27%, UD Oliveirense 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
3 Jan 2026
14:00 CD Feirense vs Uniao De Leiria Analysis →
23:30 Farense vs Portimonense Analysis →