Felgueiras 1932 2-1 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.01/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.71
-40% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.1 Crosses 14.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Felgueiras 1932
1W-0D-0L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.49 xG 0.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 7
40 Passes 140
46% Pass Accuracy 62%
16 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.01.2025 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-3 HT 0-2 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
2-1
AWAY UD Oliveirense
3.44 xG 0.81
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
182 Passes 100
81% Pass Accuracy 61%
15 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 edged past UD Oliveirense 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Felgueiras 1932 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 66% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 34%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 3.44 to 0.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Felgueiras 1932's control.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs UD Oliveirense?

Felgueiras 1932 2-1 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 47%, draw 29%, UD Oliveirense 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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