Academico Viseu 0-1 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-8.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.98/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.17
-19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.7 Crosses 20.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.31 xG 1.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
309 Passes 232
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2025 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 4-3 HT 2-2 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
16.03.2024 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-1 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
06.11.2023 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-0 HT 1-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
28.07.2018 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 3-2 HT 1-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu PORLC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
0-1
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
1.53 xG 0.73
73% Ball Possession 27%
19 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
425 Passes 121
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs Paços De Ferreira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira squeezed past Academico Viseu 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Paços De Ferreira found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 73% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 27%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.53 to 0.73 — on chances, Academico Viseu could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paços De Ferreira led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Academico Viseu and 2.25 for Paços De Ferreira.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Paços De Ferreira?

Academico Viseu 0-1 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 38%, draw 28%, Paços De Ferreira 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Academico Viseu), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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