Porto II 1-4 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.27/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.63
+5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.6 Crosses 16.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Benfica II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.44 xG 1.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
330 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2025 Benfica II Benfica II 2-1 HT 2-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
17.05.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 5-2 HT 3-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
14.01.2024 Porto II Porto II 0-3 HT 0-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
22.01.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 2-2 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
13.05.2022 Porto II Porto II 2-3 HT 2-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
10.01.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 1-2 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
1-4
AWAY Benfica II
0.85 xG 1.97
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
272 Passes 346
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II cruised past Porto II 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Benfica II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Porto II had 45% of the ball to Benfica II's 55%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.85 to 1.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Porto II and 2.67 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Benfica II?

Porto II 1-4 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Porto II 35%, draw 28%, Benfica II 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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