Benfica II 2-1 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 6 Jan 2025

📅06/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
8.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.45/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.35
-4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 19.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Porto II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 1.40
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
282 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 5-2 HT 3-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
14.01.2024 Porto II Porto II 0-3 HT 0-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
22.01.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 2-2 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
13.05.2022 Porto II Porto II 2-3 HT 2-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
10.01.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 1-2 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
22.05.2021 Benfica II Benfica II 2-1 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
2-1
AWAY Porto II
1.21 xG 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
294 Passes 349
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II edged past Porto II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica II as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Benfica II had 47% of the ball to Porto II's 53%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.21 to 1.67 — on chances, Porto II could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Benfica II and 1.50 for Porto II.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Porto II?

Benfica II 2-1 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 06/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 51%, draw 22%, Porto II 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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