Academico Viseu 1-1 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.54
6+ Goals
7%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 34% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.02/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.09
-24% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses 23.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.51 xG 1.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
424 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-0 HT 1-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
28.07.2018 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 3-2 HT 1-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu PORLC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
1-1
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
2.35 xG 1.84
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
347 Passes 193
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs Paços De Ferreira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu and Paços De Ferreira shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 62% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 38%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.35 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paços De Ferreira led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Academico Viseu and 2.00 for Paços De Ferreira.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Paços De Ferreira?

Academico Viseu 1-1 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 35%, draw 30%, Paços De Ferreira 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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