Maritimo 2-0 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.03
6+ Goals
11%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.23/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.03
+8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses 22.0
3.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
3.26 xG 1.14
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
389 Passes 316
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 0-3 HT 0-2 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POK
05.11.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 4-3 HT 3-2 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
24.02.2012 Maritimo Maritimo 1-0 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
18.09.2011 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-3 HT 0-2 Maritimo Maritimo POR
01.04.2011 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-3 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR
07.11.2010 Maritimo Maritimo 1-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo
2-0
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
1.82 xG 0.52
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
431 Passes 301
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maritimo vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo got the better of Uniao De Leiria 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maritimo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Maritimo had 57% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 43%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.82 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Maritimo and 1.67 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Maritimo vs Uniao De Leiria?

Maritimo 2-0 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 47%, draw 27%, Uniao De Leiria 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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