Maritimo 0-3 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 10 Jan 2024

Maritimo
0-3 HT 0-2
Uniao De Leiria
📅10/01/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2023/2024

Maritimo vs Uniao De Leiria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
21.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.7pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maritimo v Uniao De Leiria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 28%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
0.50/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-75% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Maritimo vs Uniao De Leiria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maritimo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
3.26 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
389 Passes 316
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 4-3 HT 3-2 Maritimo Maritimo POR2
24.02.2012 Maritimo Maritimo 1-0 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
18.09.2011 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-3 HT 0-2 Maritimo Maritimo POR
01.04.2011 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 1-3 HT 0-1 Maritimo Maritimo POR
07.11.2010 Maritimo Maritimo 1-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
07.02.2010 Maritimo Maritimo 1-0 HT 1-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR

Maritimo 0-3 Uniao De Leiria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo
0-3
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
64% Ball Possession 36%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maritimo vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria cruised past Maritimo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Maritimo had 64% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 36%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maritimo and 1.17 for Uniao De Leiria.

What was the final score of Maritimo vs Uniao De Leiria?

Maritimo 0-3 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - Cup on 10/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 48%, draw 23%, Uniao De Leiria 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Maritimo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ BTTS No
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