Paços De Ferreira vs Academico Viseu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paços De Ferreira v Academico Viseu — Team-Based Signals
Paços De Ferreira vs Academico Viseu Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Academico Viseu
POR2
3-2
HT 1-1
Academico Viseu
PORLC
Paços De Ferreira 4-3 Academico Viseu — Actual Match Statistics
Paços De Ferreira edged past Academico Viseu 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Academico Viseu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 56% of the ball to Academico Viseu's 44%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.60 to 1.06 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Paços De Ferreira's control.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paços De Ferreira had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 1.00 for Academico Viseu.
What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Academico Viseu?
Paços De Ferreira 4-3 Academico Viseu in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Academico Viseu?
Before kick-off our model rated an Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 34%, draw 25%, Academico Viseu 41%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Academico Viseu), Under 2.5 went the other way.