Torreense vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Torreense v Mafra — Team-Based Signals
Torreense vs Mafra Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Mafra
POR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Mafra
PRLK
1-0
HT 0-0
Torreense
POR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Mafra
POR2
Torreense 1-0 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics
Torreense edged past Mafra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torreense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Torreense had 52% of the ball to Mafra's 48%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.99 to 2.18 — on chances, Mafra could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mafra led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Torreense and 0.80 for Mafra.
What was the final score of Torreense vs Mafra?
Torreense 1-0 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torreense vs Mafra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Torreense 43%, draw 26%, Mafra 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torreense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.