Vizela 3-2 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
11%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.33/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.40
+6% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses 15.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Maritimo
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.41
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 Passes 389
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.07.2023 Vizela Vizela 2-1 HT 1-1 Maritimo Maritimo PRLK
19.05.2023 Maritimo Maritimo 1-0 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
14.01.2023 Vizela Vizela 3-0 HT 2-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
08.05.2022 Vizela Vizela 1-1 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
28.12.2021 Maritimo Maritimo 2-0 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela
3-2
AWAY Maritimo
1.45 xG 0.81
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
482 Passes 167
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vizela vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela edged past Maritimo 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vizela as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Vizela had 66% of the ball to Maritimo's 34%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.45 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Vizela and 1.00 for Maritimo.

What was the final score of Vizela vs Maritimo?

Vizela 3-2 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vizela 42%, draw 29%, Maritimo 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vizela) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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