Farense vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farense v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Farense vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Portimonense
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
1-2
HT 0-1
Portimonense
POR2
Farense 0-1 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Portimonense nicked a narrow win over Farense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Farense at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Farense had 52% of the ball to Portimonense's 48%, shots finished 27-14, expected goals 3.39 to 1.50 — on chances, Farense could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Farense and 1.83 for Portimonense.
What was the final score of Farense vs Portimonense?
Farense 0-1 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farense vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Farense 53%, draw 24%, Portimonense 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Farense) went the other way.