Sur 0-2 Al Nahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Oman - Sultan Cup, 3 Jan 2026

Sur
0-2 HT 0-0
Al Nahda
📅03/01/2026 · 🕒18:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.4
No
48%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-5.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
38%
+14.1pp
48%
BTTS No
62%
-14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sur EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nahda EU Bookmakers 60%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.35
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -58%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
219 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sur
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Nahda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.10.2025 Al Nahda Al Nahda 4-2 HT 2-0 Sur Sur UMM
07.03.2025 Al Nahda Al Nahda 1-1 Sur Sur UMM
15.09.2024 Sur Sur 0-1 Al Nahda Al Nahda UMM
19.10.2023 Al Nahda Al Nahda 1-0 HT 1-0 Sur Sur UMMSK
07.10.2023 Sur Sur 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Nahda Al Nahda UMM
13.12.2022 Al Nahda Al Nahda 2-0 Sur Sur UMM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sur
0-2
AWAY Al Nahda
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sur vs Al Nahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nahda got the better of Sur 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nahda as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sur had 45% of the ball to Al Nahda's 55%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nahda led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sur and 2.00 for Al Nahda.

What was the final score of Sur vs Al Nahda?

Sur 0-2 Al Nahda in the Oman - Sultan Cup on 03/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sur vs Al Nahda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nahda win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sur 22%, draw 28%, Al Nahda 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nahda), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nahda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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