Brackley Town 1-0 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.46
6+ Goals
9%
23.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.29/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.11
-30% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Darlington 1883
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-1 HT 1-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
15.04.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
15.10.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-2 HT 2-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
23.04.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-2 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
14.09.2021 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-3 HT 0-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
05.01.2021 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
1-0
AWAY Darlington 1883
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town nicked a narrow win over Darlington 1883 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Brackley Town had 44% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 56%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brackley Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brackley Town and 1.00 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Darlington 1883?

Brackley Town 1-0 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 50%, draw 29%, Darlington 1883 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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