Annan Athletic 2-3 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.73
1/2
10%
23.85
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
11%
5.87
X/2
15%
5.29
X/X
11%
5.52
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
13%
3.23
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.40/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.24
-8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
304 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
23.09.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
05.05.2012 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
03.03.2012 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK2
14.01.2012 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
29.10.2011 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKK
22.10.2011 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İKK
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic nicked a narrow win over Annan Athletic 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Alloa Athletic found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Annan Athletic and 1.17 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Alloa Athletic?

Annan Athletic 2-3 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 37%, draw 25%, Alloa Athletic 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alloa Athletic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK1 More Scotland - 1st Division
3 Feb 2024
18:00 Stirling Albion vs Cove Rangers Analysis →
18:00 Queen Of The South vs Hamilton Analysis →
18:00 Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts Analysis →