Edinburgh City 0-3 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
6.35
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
56%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.81
2-3 Goals
38%
2.16
4-5 Goals
26%
2.46
6+ Goals
18%
4.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
13%
+7.4pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.8pp
56%
Away Win
71%
-15.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 75%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+45% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Edinburgh City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
07.10.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 1-4 HT 0-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
19.07.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 3-5 HT 3-3 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İKLK
22.04.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-2 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
04.03.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-2 HT 0-1 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
08.10.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
30.07.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 0-2 HT 0-1 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
POST-MATCH Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts ran out comfortable winners over Edinburgh City 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kelty Hearts as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Edinburgh City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Edinburgh City and 2.00 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts?

Edinburgh City 0-3 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Edinburgh City 20%, draw 24%, Kelty Hearts 56%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kelty Hearts), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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